Israel’s candidate, Benjamin Netanyahu, won a slight advantage in the last pre-election polls

Israel's candidate, Benjamin Netanyahu, won a slight advantage in the last pre-election polls
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TEL AVIV — Former Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has a narrow lead over his rivals in Israel’s leadership race, according to the latest polls ahead of Tuesday’s showdown, but a fifth ballot deadlock in three years is the likely outcome.

Following the collapse of the government in the summer, Israelis must decide between a record third term as prime minister for Mr Pavlus. Netanyahu, or the one who defeated him in 2021, returns to the unique, difficult coalition of left, center, right and Arab parties.

Friday’s polls – the last polls that can be published under Israeli law – Mr. Netanyahu is slightly ahead of his main rival, Prime Minister Yair Lapid. No party is expected to win an outright majority, but the ladies. Netanyahu and Lapid have allies to form a government coalition.

Mr. According to a poll by the Israel Hayom news agency, Netanyahu’s Likud party was predicted to win 30 seats. His bloc of right-wing and religious allies was projected to win just 61 seats, enough for a 120-seat majority in the Israeli parliament.

Mr. Lapid’s Yesh Atid party was projected to win 25 seats and his anti-Netanyahu bloc 59 seats in the same poll.

However, another survey conducted by the Israeli newspaper Maariv on Friday showed that Mr. Netanyahu and his rivals deadlocked with 60 seats each.

Israel’s Channels 11, 12 and 13 also showed a 60-60 deadlock between the two camps in polls broadcast late Friday.

The nonsense coalition of the current Prime Minister Yair Lapid is united only in opposition to Mr. President. Netanyahu.


Ahmed Garabli/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Polls on Friday showed Mr. Netanyahu and his supporters gaining a slim majority or simply lagging behind.

A neck-and-neck election will decide which side can best increase voter turnout. Mr. According to political analysts, Netanyahu has an advantage because all four parties in his bloc will comfortably win 3.25% of the vote – the threshold to win a seat in Parliament. Votes of parties with less than 3.25% are cancelled.

According to Israel’s Hayom survey, the three parties of the anti-Netanyahu bloc operate near that political danger zone. If any of them fail to enter Parliament, Mr. Netanyahu’s bloc will definitely have a majority.

If Ms. If Lapid or Netanyahu stop building coalitions, their government is likely to be fragile. If the demands of any MLA are not met, there will be leverage to topple the government.

Mr. Netanyahu was in the country’s top seat from 2009 until last year, when his rivals came together to form a narrow coalition of 61 seats. It was the fourth election in Mr Trump’s two-year period of political uncertainty. Netanyahu’s indictment in 2019 on corruption charges and his departure from the narrow ruling coalition.

Mr. The Lapid alliance is united only in opposition to Mr. Netanyahu, who most coalition members believe, should not be allowed to rule the country while on trial on corruption charges. Mr. Netanyahu denies any wrongdoing.

Mr. Netanyahu campaigned against the last government, Israel’s first independent Arab party, saying it contained members who sympathized with terrorists. The coalition collapsed in less than a year as members clashed over policies on West Bank settlements, the Palestinians and issues of religion and state.

Mr. Netanyahu was Israel’s longest-serving prime minister, serving from 2009 to last year.


menahem kahana/Agence France-Presse/Getty Images

Even if there are 61 MPs who oppose Mr. President. Mr. Netanyahu after the election. Lapid will still struggle to form a coalition. He had to rely on the support of Arab parties, but his allies say they will refuse to sit in the alliance because of their Palestinian nationalist character.

Mr. Netanyahu’s bloc is united; he is its undisputed leader and largely shares the same ideology. In a government with a small majority, Mr. He would be with Netanyahu Itamar Ben-Gvir, co-chairman of Religious Zionism, a far-right MP whose party won 15 seats in the Israel Hayom survey and 14 seats in the Maariv survey. Mr. Ben-Gvir pushed for use Deadly force against Palestinians those advocating the deportation of those who use violence during protests and seek to undermine the Jewish character of Israel.

In the deadlock, Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz may be the biggest winner. His National Unity party, currently a mix of centrist and right-wing MPs, including some high-profile defectors from the Likud party, will take 11 or 12 seats, respectively, according to polls from Israel Hayom and Maariv.

Mr. Gantz presented himself as the only candidate who could bridge the gap between Mr Lieberg and Mr Lieberg. Netanyahu and his opponents. In the event of an impasse, he could have accepted the gentleman’s offer. Netanyahu will go first in a rotating government, or continue as defense minister under Mr. President. Lapid’s transitional government, as the country prepares for the sixth round of elections.

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